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January 2012

Heineken Cup Match Preview and Betting Odds - Clermont vs Ulster

by Ryan D Jaeger

Wrecking Machine - Stephen Ferris

Ulster travel to France to take on the might of Clermont Auvergne with both teams knowing that nothing short of victory is enough to see them through to the knockout stages of the Heineken Cup.

Ulster currently leads Pool 4 with Clermont three points adrift. Victory alone will be enough for the Ulstermen and Clermont need victory with a bonus point to not rely on mathematical calculation to determine their fate (although they have a far superior points difference to Ulster and have scored more tries).

If Ulster on the other hand lose but gain a bonus point, Clermont would qualify, leaving Ulster a nervous wait to see if they make it through as the one of the two runners up that get the wildcards.

Twenty teams can still mathematically qualify for the playoffs, but the picture is clear for Ulster and Clermont.

Fans and neutrals alike will be looking forward to an encounter between two sides at the top of their respective games.

Bet365 Sportsbook has installed Clermont as a 1/8 favourite. Ulster are 5/1to take the spoils and the Tie is 33/1. Bet365 delivers great value with the £200 free bet offer. Clermont start as a 12 point favourite on the Handicap at 10/11.

Why back Clermont?

Clermont  in their 18,000 capacity Stade Marcel Michelin is a real force in Northern Hemisphere rugby. They are unbeaten at home in a massive 38 matches. The problem sides face against Clermont is that the men in yellow relish a quick game, but they also don't often lose the kicking battle so to beat them at home requires the complete package.

Why back Ulster?

The North Irishmen are playing some of the best rugby seen by the Ravenhill faithful since their European Cup triumph in 1999. Stephen Ferris is a human wrecking ball and arguably the best forward in the competition at the moment. Ulster's imports from South Africa and New Zealand are all in good form and don't look like men just earning their big pay packets at the end of their careers.

But the reality exists that Ulster have never won on French soil, and were they to turn the tables now, it would be against all the odds. They have the pack to take on Clermont upfront and will look to retain possession and keep the ball away from the dangerous runners like Kiwi Siteveni Sivivatu.

Our tip: Back Clermont to win by 11-15 points at 9/2 odds, by they fail to secure the bonus point, leaving Ulster to wait out the weekend to see if they make it through as a runner up.

Other Matches and Odds

Outright odds for other matches taking place this weekend (odds courtesy of Bet365.com):

Castres (1/3) vs Scarlets (12/5)

Leicester (1/150) vs Aironi (18/1)

Northampton (2/5) vs Munster (2/1)





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